Tuesday, June 15, 2010

EUR-USD Technical Analysis - June 13 2010

Last week was boring day trading day as there are 3 days without significant breakout. However on Thursday the expected correction started to take place and it exactly reside on the middle of the Bollinger band on daily time frame. This is an identical level of correction.

Next week tforecast for EUR-USD is as follow:

Daily Time Frame:
MACD = Up
Stochastic = Up
B. Band = Middle
Summary: In short term indicators signal support for further correction.

Weekly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in intermediate term

Monthly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in the long-term

Fundamental Data:
On Monday and Tuesday fundamental data from the Euro zones are much stronger than the US Zone. There is a strong possibility of further correction in the first and second day.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

How Trading Forex on Margin Works

One of the key benefits of trading forex for retail investors is the ability to trade on margin (also known as ‘leveraging’ or ‘gearing’). This means that, for a relatively small initial investment, you have the ability to increase your forex trading position by paying a percentage of the nominal value of the contract. However, margin trading also carries a high degree of risk, as a small market movement can result in a substantial loss of funds.

Given the potentially significant size of a trader’s position, it is important that forex investors understand how forex trading on margin works. Looking at an example, if you have deposited $50,000 in your account and you open two trades: a buy of 1,000,000 EUR/USD and a buy of 1,000,000 AUD/USD, each trade has a margin requirement of $10,000 for a $1,000,000 position. You therefore now have $20,000 in used margin and $30,000 in useable margin. In this scenario, the $30,000 will provide you with a cushion to withstand some market losses and means you will not need to close your trade prematurely.

Should EUR/USD now move up, resulting in a $5,000 profit on that position and $35,000 in usable margin, but AUD/USD fall, resulting in a $35,000 loss, your usable margin would now be zero and each of these open trades will be closed. It is therefore important to consider your position size in relation to your account equity to ensure you do not over leverage, making yourself vulnerable to relatively small adverse market moves.

Although you are able to access leverage on online forex trading platforms , such as dbFX, you should clearly assess the potential risk and reward of an investment opportunity, and from this, establish whether leveraging to enhance potential returns makes sense. Trading on margin is explained by Betsy Waters, dbFX Global Director, in a series of forex trading video interviews. Visit www.dbfx.com for more information.

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/currency-trading-articles/how-trading-forex-on-margin-works-1686101.html

Tips On How to Start Forex Trading

1. You can make money with Forex Trading if you are fully equipped with the knowledge and skills required in Forex trading.
2. You can make money with Forex Trading if you are committed to online currency trading since online currency trading is considered the future of Forex trading
3. Before you start in Forex trading, it is necessary for you to set up your account with a Forex broker. Choose from the best of the available Forex brokers online. Research on those who require fees which fit your budget and most especially those who are very experienced and skillful in Forex trading.

Are You a Forex Trader Who Wants to Earn Huge in Forex Trading

When you are in forex trading, you can start small and then build up wealth in a short period of time. However, you must have already heard the fact that there are so many people who lose in forex trading. As a matter of fact, there are 95% according to statistics. But do not worry so much. There is good news. Anybody has the potential to win in forex market. One just has to develop the needed skills in order to win.
So here are some things that you may find helpful when you enter forex trading.Effort is needed in forex trading. Just like in any other professions, you have to learn the basics of things and study more about it so that you will know what exactly you are doing. Do not go for those that claim to make you rich in one night. Shortcuts will just lead to losses since most of them are just scams. You think that by simply buying a forex system you are good to go, think again. If forex trading is as easy as that, why is it then that 95% of traders lose money?Just like the saying simplicity is beauty, it also sort of applies to forex trading. If you keep things simple and do your best, you can learn fast in just a matter of weeks. If you look at those complex systems that are used by the forex traders, you still have to delve into a lot of parts. Besides, there is no assurance that a more complex system is better than a simpler one.
To earn money in forex trading, you must have the proper mindset. You must be able to use your system with confidence and you must maintain discipline even when you face losses. It is actually simple. Just make sure and do your best to not let your emotions rule you. [http://www.topforexrobot.org]Top Forex Robot: As Seen on CNN, CNBC and FORBES Money. If you'd like to try an [http://www.topforexrobot.org]Automated Forex Robot that has been proven on video to double the deposit of my trading account in under 1 week, visit my site and see the Top 3 Forex Robots.

Friday, February 26, 2010

Trading Week Recap

I've been leery of letting BREAD (my primary trading robot) trade too much. I suspect prior tweaks have it taking too much risk. As such I kept it on a short leash and it only earned 0.9% for the week. Perhaps I'll have time to make some adjustments over the weekend.

On the discretionary front I was back down to a more reasonable 13% this week. Last week's 34% was probably some type of market movement vs trading style confluence. These thing happen.

In other news I have a new Bollinger Band based robot in the works. An early version of it was trading this week -- earning almost %1 as well. More trials and adjustments to look forward to!

UPDATE: No time to do anything Forex related this weekend.

Challenging Times

While I realize the world went through a bit of an unwind, before and after the Dubai incident, I've been busy with work and family issues instead.

Things have just been incredibly busy!

In any case, what with the volatility and unwinding that has been going on it's probably a good time to be inactive. I did manage to blow up my small discretionary account (my robots are far better traders than I am) but that's insignificant.

However, the big news, from my own point of view, is that I have some tweaks for my up-and-coming robot. Basically, I need it to detect a downward slide quickly and then decide not to waste it's risk capital on redundant positions.

Maybe I'll have some time to do some blogging and tweaking this week?

AUDJPY: The Cake is Baked

Well, the RBA just decided not to increase rates.

Recently, China decided to tighten up capital requirements for lenders.

Also, there has been talk of taxing or otherwise restricting carry trade activities.

Lest we forget, recent news in Australia is mixed.

The US market has been skittish.

Emerging markets have been very skittish.

So, what am I trying to say?

I'm thinking the cake is baked. You might want to let the dust settle from the RBA decision -- but I think we have become overly pessimistic. We are so pessimistic that all the bad news and presumptions of bad news should soon be baked into the price of the AUDJPY.

All we need now are some upside surprises...

UPDATE: It's thursday morning and we are having a nice panic day apparently due to a less than stellar jobs report. I think the panic is unnecessary but I do understand the lynchpin that is being attacked here. If jobs don't come back then how can the economy recover? However, I think they have it backwards, as we do see spending continue to recover, which should after a lag lead to jobs. Obviously, the market can stay irrational far longer than you can remain solvent, so don't jump in just because you have a long term belief (as I do).

I guess the cake is baking, but not yet ready to come out of the oven.

AUDJPY: Profit Is My Density

No, that's not a typo. It's a rip-off of a line from the Back To The Future movie. Anyway, this post is another in the series of theoretical considerations with respect to various robot building strategies.

In this scenario let's consider fixing our maximum total position size across a specific price range. For example, perhaps we are willing to purchase 10000 units per 1000 pips (remember, I'm generally talking about small account sizes). For Oanda traders this will run you up to about $175.00 in margin.

If you want to limit your overall positions to 10% of your account capital then you'll have to ante up $1750.00 to play in that 1000 pip range. Obviously, a large account value will either give you a larger playing field or a higher density of positions if you don't expand the playing field.

Are you still with me?

I know, at this point things are pretty boring. In fact, we're looking at a simple grid that we can play every time price passes through our space. However, this gets a bit spicier if we can find a way to optimize the open and close activities.

For example, what if we can compress our position openings towards the low end of a short term movement? Similarly, what if we can compress our position closings towards the higher end of price movements within our price space?

If you have good ideas for these processes, then you are set!

My thought is to adjust the probability of closing profitable positions based on the amount of profit a position embodies. For example, perhaps a position with a 10 pip profit has a 1% chance of being closed while a 20 pip profit has a 5% chance of being closed -- per bar. What would this do to the expected profit per position? Are some probability formulas able to provide much better returns?

Remember, we're talking about trading a maximum density of positions while prices move through our trading space. We know our total position, our total risk, and simply want to allow our winners to run as much as we can based on historical price movement patterns. Basically, we know that prices range for a while and then take off up or down. It's the multi-day upward movement that we want to catch... letting go of positions slowly during smaller moves until we can eventually latch onto a bigger move.

I'm probably about 85% into building a new robot based on this concept. I like the measured aspect of this on the risk side. I like the less definable profitability expectation -- it's beyond my math skills at any rate -- which is suggestive of an ability to preferentially capture larger profits. I also like that it should continue to eek out smaller profits if the price decides to languish in a smaller range for some period of time.

Trust Yourself

When you turn on the TV (especially mainstream media) you are inundated with news of the demise of the dollar. Business news, national news and even your local news channels are leading into events with reports of the dollar and the economy. Analysts are featured and opinions are smattered across the airwaves in an attempt to provide an oracle response to current economic events.

Beware the source and follow your system.

In these volatile times it is easy to get caught up in the hype provide by all the news media and analyst. It is natural to want to look for guidance. Remember to trust your system and more important trust yourself. You, after all, are the single largest determinant of your success.

Your approach should remain consistent, almost impervious to the events occurring because you follow your plan with discipline and ruthless detail to executing at optimum performance.

Be disciplined and follow your plan. If market conditions don’t suite your style – sit this one out until conditions provide your with your personal edge!

Happy Trading!!

Do you have what it takes to become a successful Forex Trader?

Forex trading, or any trading for that matter, is an occupation that requires experience and the accumulation of proficiency not unlike any other highly skilled profession. Whether you are a leading executive at a major publically traded company, a professional golfer or trading from your kitchen table, there are 5 key ingredients that one must possess in order to become successful.

1. You must be Passionate about what you do.

As Forex traders we all face one unique set of circumstances that does not exist in any other profession. We get rewarded for when we succeed and equally punished when we don’t! Could you image a corporate worker one quarter receiving a significant accomplishment bonus and the next quarter actually getting money taken from their paycheck for missing performance targets? Not on your life!

We do as Forex traders and that is why passion for what you do will carry you through the tough times that are part of your trading business. Asked yourself why you trade currencies and would you still do it if Forex were not potentially lucrative? Your answers will be quite revealing. You’ve got to feel your passion for trading!

2. You have to Apply Yourself and work hard at it.

I talk to so many people that enter into Forex trading with the aspiration of getting rich quick. Without putting the time and energy into really getting good at trading I see them jump from strategy to strategy looking for the goose that will lay the golden egg and eventually quitting while blaming everything else, except the true cause.

I got news for you – you are the goose and your Forex education is the golden egg. The magic has always resided with the magician and not some strategy. Work hard at trading and the rewards will eventually come your way. Remember what Tiger Woods said, “Funny, the harder I work the luckier I get.” Apply yourself as a trader and it will be no accident when your account begins to blossom.

3. You must Focus to really get good at what you do.

Now here is the hurdle most Forex traders struggle to get over. You have the passion and you are applying yourself to your trade, now focus and really get good at just at what you are doing. Be the expert to the experts at just that one thing. Become the master of a strategy or risk management methodologies. Really focus on getting good at it.

Stop jumping around or getting pulled from the last “latest and greatest” into the next “latest and greatest” and focus on one aspect of Forex trading and know it inside out. Know it strengths and weakness. Set your sights on becoming expert on just one aspect of trading and watch it spill over in all other aspects for your currency trading. This is the time to fail forward fast, use every setback as a learning opportunity that will propel you 3-steps ahead!

4. You must Push Yourself beyond the point everyone else might have quite.

In Forex Trading this is simple. Assume there is someone on the other side of your trade that is pushing themselves and sharpening their edge. To be successful you must you must do the same thing. Now is the time to examine your mental edge. Do you know the single most critical factor in any currency trade? It is you, the trader! Sharpening you mental edge is the most difficult aspect of trading, but also the most rewarding.

Start with your Forex education and gain the self-awareness necessary to maximize your strengths and suppress your weaknesses. Any expert will tell you that trading is 80% mental. It’s time to sharpen your trading to the razor’s edge and you do this through Forex education. A constant and never ending process that will become the cornerstone of your Forex experience.

5. You must, without wavering, be Determined and Persist to your objective.

You will fail. I can state that emphatically. However, you will not be defeated unless you allow your failures to control your trading. It is the old adage; failure is not falling of your horse, failure is refusing to get back on. Your success depends on your ability to dismiss the criticism, rejection, self-doubt and pressures associated with Forex trading.

Defining what is a winning trade, losing trade and bad trade will go a long way into developing you as a successful trader. Without the determination and persistence in all aspects of your trading life, obstacle will definitely appear closer and larger than they actually are.

Take a moment and assess yourself and your trading. Do you have the key elements to succeed? Which areas are presents development opportunities? When conducting a self-evaluation it is critical to be totally upfront and honest with yourself. After all, you will only be dishonest with yourself. One of the most interesting observations you can make is that all key success factors are interwoven. One factor supports the other. This is why your Forex education is a continuous journey of forex strategy, money management and self-mastery. Set these factors as your Forex education goals and take your currency trading to new heights.

Happy Trading!!

4 Rules for Success in Forex Trading

Trading on the foreign currency exchange, Forex, gives people the opportunity to go where the average man had not been allowed to go before. Only the rich and the bankers could enter until recently. This doorway to the possibility of great riches, however, has many rushing into it without really understanding what is going on. The expected result - a lot of lost money and disappointed Forex ex-traders.

While many treat it like a game, it is no wonder that they cannot earn from it like a business - regularly, and full-time. Succeeding in Forex trading does not have to be an elusive dream. There are, however, some basic things that seem to escape many people because they are not willing to take some basic but necessary key steps. Here are some things that you need to follow if you want to see success in your Forex trading

1. Know the Forex System

It is not enough to say that you have read some articles about online Forex trading. You must read more and more until you really know what is going on and what to look for. You should also be able to point out a few things that will work well and some that do not. It is also a very good idea to take an online Forex trading course or two in order to learn everything from the basics to the strategies of the Forex day trading experts.

It is also not enough to say that you have worked some with the demo Forex software and got a few wins. If you are serious, you need to practice a lot more until you can say that you win most of the time. Then you are ready to start.

2. Make Every FX Bid Your Best

When it comes time to make your bid on a certain foreign currency, you need to make each decision your best decision. This means you need to eliminate the guesswork and hope so attitude, and simply be sure because you know how it works. Until you are sure - then you do not know yet.
That means you need to learn the system more. It is not nearly so complex that only a rocket scientist can figure it out, you just have to be able to eliminate the hunches and go on solid facts.

3. Continually Develop Your Forex Trading Strategy

You do not ever want to get to the place where you think you do not need to learn any more about Forex trading. There is always more to learn because the systems and how currencies interact with each other is always changing. A lot of recent surprises internationally caught a lot of people off guard. For the best results, you always want to learn more. Study the methods of other Forex trading experts and use or even improve on some of their Forex trading strategy.

4. Test Each New FX Trading Strategy Improvement Thoroughly Before Use

Every time you develop or tweak your Forex trading strategies it is time to either go to the demo software or the mini Forex so small amounts can be used in your testing. There is no need to lose any money unnecessarily. You want to be sure - not foolish in putting your money on the line.

Online currency trading can bring you the results (profit) you want if you do it right. Yes, you can make money online, but you want to do it in a way that brings as much profit as possible. Do not be in a hurry to invest your money. Get a thorough Forex education, develop a sound Forex trading strategy, and then you can make some Forex profits.

Common Mistakes to Avoid In Forex Trading

There is a lot of hype and exaggerations out there in the Forex market, which tends to make people believe that it is easy to make millions in a short period of time. The truth, however, is not quite so pretty. While a lot of money can be made, Some thinking may need to be corrected before that will ever happen. Here are some common mistakes that you can avoid which will help you profit from Forex trading.


Working Forex with Day Trading

This is a big mistake for many and it is also costly for many, too. The leading indicators are too difficult, if not impossible, to interpret what is going to happen. This makes it more likely that people will lose their investment.

Little fluctuations are occurring all the time. It is better to make forecasts by seeing trends and knowing what events may indicate a spike is about to occur.

Constant Trading Wins

This is another incorrect thinking pattern that is going to cost you. The best moments in Forex trading do not come on a weekly or daily basis. They are few and far in between. In the mean time, you simply want to watch for when those best moments are about to happen and be sure to have your bid in when it does. Smaller profits can certainly be made at other times, but they will be nominal.

Predicting the Market

This is another fallacy in thinking. There are simply too many actual factors that would be needed to make predictions. It is far easier and safer for your investment to simply learn to watch when those positive market fluctuations are starting and jump on for the ride - and profit. Just be sure to jump off the train before it starts losing momentum and you will be able to trade those earned pips in for cash.

It Is Easy

Another sad mistake often made. The truth is that it takes some learning to properly prepare someone to know how to trade on Forex. Because people think it is easy, they often jump in before they are really ready and lose a lot of money unnecessarily. It is important to practice longer and make sure your system will work on a continued basis before real money gets involved.

By taking a little more time to learn the system, you actually provide for your Forex investment a greater margin of safety. Instead of throwing your money to the wolves, you are actually more likely to make the profit you want to see.

Success Comes From A Package

This is clearly some of the hype surrounding FX that you want to watch out for. While there certainly are some excellent systems available for sale, the problem is that people are often unwilling to harness their own emotions and follow that system. Their own emotions lead them to make irrational decisions and then they quickly forget those systems. This leads to losing money fast on Forex.

Forex is a good way for people to be able to make some extra money. It does take some discipline, however, to learn it correctly and to watch over those emotions that are often so easily swayed. Control that, and learn it right, and Forex trading could turn out to be very profitable for you.

Online Forex Trading Tips

Top 10 Tips for Successful Forex Trading

Learning to become a successful forex trader goes a lot deeper than just placing a few trades. The foreign currency exchange market can be extremely volatile with currency prices changing from minute to minute.

If you’re not aware of the minute intricacies of the forex market that can either maximize or minimize your profits with each trade you place, you could seriously be jeopardizing your forex trading future.

Here are the top 10 tips to increase your chances of success with forex trading.

1. Understand the Forex Market

Too many beginning forex traders jump into the market believing that forex will be a way for them to ‘get rich quick’. While it is possible to make massive profits in a relatively short time by trading foreign currencies, it’s also equally possible to lose even bigger amounts if you’re not careful.

Take some time to understand the underlying factors behind how currency pricing can be affected and learn how the currency markets work before you begin trading.

2. Develop a Trading Strategy

All successful forex traders have a defined trading strategy. In order to build a profitable forex trading business, you’ll need to work out what your own personal strategy is going to be.

Different people have vastly different levels of risk tolerance. Understanding what works for you and then building your own trading plan based around what suits you and avoiding taking advice from those who have completely different risk-tolerance levels will mean you’ll withstand a lot of the volatility in the market.

3. Forex Analysis

Learn how to track and monitor the forex analysis software that comes with any reputable trading account. Your analysis software is designed to watch and track the pricing changes of as many currency pairings as you want to watch. Learn to understand the analytical trends and then set your trading strategy around the pricing indicators outlined by your analytical data.

4. Learn the Jargon

Jumping into the forex market without fully understanding the meaning of words like ‘pips’ or ‘spreads’ or ‘mio’ will see you lose a lot of money very quickly. Learning the jargon of any industry before you dive in will help to increase your chances of building a profitable forex trading business.

5. Learn to Control Greed-Trading

When you’ve figured a basic trading strategy that you’re happy with, stick to it like glue. Many new traders enter the market with an initial trade and plan to close out that trade once the price reaches a predetermined limit. Unfortunately, the pricing indicators show that the currency might be riding an upwards trend so greed gets the better of their judgment.

While currency values look like they’re trending upwards, too many newer traders decide to let greed over-ride their trading strategy and they remain in the market longer than their initial strategy would have allowed.

If the currency pairing you’re trading has shown sufficient profit to fit within your strategy, close out your trade and realize a profit while you can. The forex market can be extremely volatile, so waiting for prices to increase further could possibly see your prices fall through the floor in minutes.

When you place your trades, always set stop-loss limits that will help to minimize any losses you stand to make.

6. Stick With Major Currencies

While many new traders believe that including the mighty US dollar in each currency trade is the only way to make profits, the truth is there are 7 major currencies that will make as much or more than simply focusing on just one currency. This is especially true while the USD is no longer as stable as it once was.

While you’re still developing your forex trading strategies and knowledge, it’s wise to stick to various crosses of the 7 major currency pairings. The 7 major currencies are the USD, GBP, EUR, AUD, CAD, JPY and CHF.

7. Charting

Charting can seem boring and pointless to newer forex traders. More experienced foreign currency traders know that there is an enormous amount of value in learning how to read the currency pricing trend charts.

Many forex trading accounts have access to charting software that can allow you to set pricing indicators. These indicators can allow you to see at a glance when to buy and when to sell.


8. Avoid ‘Predictions’

If anyone could accurately predict in which direction a currency market will move, do you really think they’d still be working hard to make money by selling you that information?

The most successful forex traders understand that trading needs to be based on trend movements. This means waiting until a particular currency pairing shows a favorable trend and then placing a trade to take advantage of that trend. Once a profit has been realized, close out that trade and bank your profits. Don’t wait for the market movement to reach the top. Simply take your profits and wait for the next set of favorable trends.

9. Forex Trading Software

As your profit amounts increase, consider purchasing forex trading software that will allow you to extend your knowledge. Some forex software can enable you to watch multiple currency pairings simultaneously, while others give you access to charting systems that can set up pricing indicators for you based on parameters that you specify.

There are forex software systems available that are even able to place trades through your trading account on your behalf once a particular currency reaches a set pricing limit. This means you could be buying and selling forex trades even while you’re away from your computer.

10. Continuing Education

The forex market is easily the largest single marketplace in the world. No matter how successful you become, you can only benefit from continuing to educate yourself in any factors that affect the forex markets. Understand that currency prices are affected by a multitude of factors means you could be looking for political changes within a country that affect the price of its currency. Things like the interest rate on cash deposits can also affect the pricing in some countries, as can commodity pricing within other countries.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

A Winning Forex Trading Philosophy

I'm starting to believe that being successful trading Forex has more to do with your philosophy than anything else.

You cannot trade based on how much money you want to make. You cannot trade based on how much money you need to make. This means that you can't push money into the market, desperately searching for opportunity, risking a large portion of your net asset value in the process.

You must trade lightly.

When you trade lightly, you simply let the market give you the returns that it is willing to relinquish to you. Quite simply, it is not a process of taking.

If you can change your mindset it will give you a lot of peace compared to the level of stress that many generate. Dip your toes into the market, following your strategy, with a level of investment that simply cannot begin to raise your blood pressure.

A little bit of market wisdom, developed with experience, combined with an appropriate philosophy will generate profits. I know that this is difficult to consider or even believe in today's rational calculating world, but the only way to win is to not fight the market. It is way too big for you.
Stop trying to generate winning positions and simply let the market give them to you.

Forex Swing Trading system - What should be included in any swing trading system?

Forex Swing Trading systems lasts for few hours to sometime few days. Their accuracy is typically high since such systems are based on trading on 1 hr time frame or higher where technical indicators respond very well.

A good swing trading system in forex always include -

1. A primary indicator which tells if a valid trade setup is about to happen or not
2. A confirming indicator to confirm if the entry setup is valid or not.Any forex swing system should be very easy to understand and easy to use.When it comes to technical indicators there are two types
Leading Indicator and Lagging
1. Leading Indicators - They tell beforehand what can happen next. Such indicators include Fibonacci levels.
2. Lagging Indicators - They tell you what has happenned and on that basis you can take some trade decisions.
Lagging Indicators can be used to identify the entry points in a trade and Leading Indicators can be used to point out where the currency pair may stop trending and so can be used to identify exit points.
"Forex Success Formula" includes a Forex Swing Trading System uses a primary as well as two confirming indicators and has a very high accuracy. The system can be used to make money from the forex Market Consistently.

ZEW index of economic sentiment in Germany fell slightly in February

ZEW index of economic sentiment in Germany for February was 45.1 points compared with 47.2 points a month earlier. Despite the decline, the value index has surpassed expectations of analysts, forecast decline to 42.5 points. Note that the index decreases the fifth consecutive month, but its current level is much higher than the historical average 27.1 points.
In the ZEW survey indicates that expectations are at an acceptable level. Despite the fact that the recession will be over, concerns about the labor market, budget deficits and the euro has not decreased. There is a variant of that economic activity will move laterally with minor cuts and promotions.The index of current conditions in Germany rose in February to 1.8 points to minus 54.8 points.
Index Eurozone ZEW economic sentiment fell for the reporting period from 46,4 to 40,2 points. The index of current conditions in the euro area improved in January to 0.6 points to minus 62.1.

Investors refuse to junk bonds

Investors get rid of "junk" bonds fastest pace since September 2005, which is the latest sign that the concern over sovereign debt spread to other credit markets.Based on data from Lipper FMI, for the week were put about $ 1 billion from the funds of the United States, consisting of high-yield corporate bonds (junk bonds), which is the largest outflow of capital in nearly four and a half years.
As a result, last month there have been major sale of U.S. junk bonds from the time when the stock market hit bottom in March 2009, - said Martin Fridson (Martin Fridson), executive director of Fridson Investment Advisors, which specializes in high-yield bonds.The difference spreads yield junk bonds and U.S. Treasuries has expanded nearly 100 basis points from 11 January and is now kept at the level of 700 basis points, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch Index."If that corporate fundamentals are improving rapidly, loans are not insured against sovereign risk", - analysts said Morgan Stanley.
"If the result of public issues would be a fiscal contraction and higher tax rates, the probability of a second wave of recession is just above. Such an outcome is set aside pothole, if not derail the positive trends in corporate performance. "Junk bonds issued by companies with credit ratings below investment grade, soared in price in the past year as investors poured more than $ 30 billion in bond assets in search of higher returns at a time when official interest rates were at historically low levels. Demand for higher-yielding assets has led to record issuance of bonds, allowing even hopeless companies to refinance.That meant fewer corporate defaults than feared, allowing the first investors to get up to 50% yield from a garbage stock.Nevertheless, last week, the U.S. high-yield bond funds and stock assets experienced outflows of $ 984 million, which became the fastest to 28 September 2005, according to Lipper FMI.
The exodus has prompted a four-week average to the downside for the first time since March.Net nominal value of bond funds monitored by Lipper, fell to $ 1.6 billion per week in the investigation of market declines, the biggest since November 2008, when was the peak downturn."Signals whether the outflow end of the rally junk bonds, depends on whether the financial problems of the Greek resolved or postponed," - says Fridson. - "If the issue persists or worsens, it will be bad news for everyone" risky "assets, including high-yield bonds."But he added: "People may be surprised how quickly the market would go back (if the sovereign risks sag), as investors are still very expensive to stay in cash.

DAILY TRADING -THERE IS NO SPOON

Some people are asking me about the secret of daily trading. The answer is there is no secret. It is there for everyone to see but the question is, can you accept what you see.
Trading the daily chart requires patience, lots of it. That is what most of us lack. Patience. If you look at the longer timeframe charts, you will see that price will stop or hover around certain areas. That is your key point. Always start or stop trading around these key point. The next indicator I use is CCI. CCI alone is a bit of a headache. So I smooth it out with MA.
With the MA, I can see the direction of trade clearly.
People say MA is a lagging indicator but I dont want to be early going to a party. I like to enter when the party already started. The last advice is, there is no such thing as holly grail. You just cannot win all the time. The best that we can do is try to win as much as possible and lose a little as possible. In the long run, it would be profitable enough to stay trading. Otherwise you need to find another business to run.

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

How To Become A Currency Trader

If you are anything like me, you probably imagine that it is difficult to become a foreign currency trader. Perhaps there are rules, regulations and other hoops that have to be jumped through. Maybe you need large amounts of cash in order to get started.No.Becoming a Forex currency trader is incredibly simple!Get A Demo AccountAs I beginner I'd suggest you sign up with Oanda. Not only do they have a good reputation but they offer other advantages for a beginning trader as well:
You can sign up for a live account with very little initial capital.
You can execute trades of just about any arbitrary (small) size.
Of course, you can start with a free demo account before getting a live account. Just about everyone will recommend you do so, including me. However, at some point you need to trade with real money to learn about the psychological aspects of trading.So, that's what I did. I started with $100 in my account and was off to the markets. Sweet, I'm a forex trader!Learning To Trade Foreign ExchangeIf you have a demo account, enter some trades. See what happens. Then, after the results come in, search for information about what happened. You'll find some helpful advice in blogs, such as mine, as well as various tutorial and forum sites. I would suggest that you buy a book or two on forex trading, technical analysis and perhaps something concerning the attributes of successful traders. Trading With Real MoneyDon't rush to trade with real money. One of the most important things to realize is that there is always another opportunity -- there is no need to let the fear of missing out intrude on your good sense. In fact, the issue of psychology is immensely important in trading and once you move to real money trading you'll realize this very quickly.Frankly, though I counsel otherwise, I wasn't be able to trade realistically while not actually risking my own money, so I started trading with a tiny account, funded with $100, almost immediately. Personally, with a few dollars on the table, I found that my interest level, formality and trading style were all upped a notch. Trading SessionsExcept for weekends the markets are open all the time. However, different periods of time often have different characteristics. This is because trading in currencies generally follows the business day around the world from timezone to timezone.Account SafetyOh, I should mention, these days Forex trading with a reputable company (such as Oanda) is quite safe. While there are large risks and large rewards, my risks are essentially limited to the capital that I have put into my account. With wise strategies I can limit risks further, but as a beginner it is comforting to know that I can't lose more than I let sit in my account no matter how foolish a beginner mistake I might make.I should stress that you could lose all the capital you put in your account, so do not start out with a large account with the idea that you will only conduct small trades. At the very least, create some sub-accounts and keep the majority of your capital out of harms way until you have blown up your play money account, learned a few lessons, and know how to protect your capital.What You'll LearnAbove and beyond the simple mechanics of opening an account and executing trades there are tons of things you'll need to study to become a successful trader. These include:
Reading candlestick charts.
Interpreting indicators.
Support and resistance levels.
Fundamental economic analysis.
National economic news events.
Each of these issues can span multiple chapters or perhaps an entire text depending on the depth of information being presented.I also invite you to read my blog. I started out from scratch and can address issues in a way that can be helpful for a beginner. Please feel free to ask questions and I'll do my best to point you to useful information if I can't give you a good answer myself.